IQ Weekly Takeaways for 9 August 2020


1) Week in Review: IQ Articles Published this week

2) Trump bans US residents from doing business with TikTok and WeChat

The InvestQuest’s View: The actual financial impact to Tencent is manageable, since only 2% of Tencent’s total revenues is derived from the US. Specifically on WeChat, there is only 1.8 million users in US, compared to 1.2 billion WeChat users in total globally. That said, the big risk is the fear of further escalation, resulting in weak investor sentiment.

3) Additional round of US Fiscal Stimulus Hits Roadblock

4) Singapore-based SEA Ltd posts a 880% return in the past 18 months

5) Market Monitors: Short-term Overbought and Oversold Stocks

6) Market Monitors: Corporate Earnings Releases in the Week Ahead

7) Market Monitors: Country Macro Data Releases in the Week Ahead


1) Week in Review: IQ Articles Published this week


2) Trump bans US residents from doing business with TikTok and WeChat

President Donald Trump signed a pair of executive orders on Friday, prohibiting US residents from doing business with the Chinese-owned TikTok and WeChat apps beginning 45 days from now, citing the national security risk of leaving Americans’ personal data exposed.

Shares of WeChat’s owner, China’s Tencent Holdings Ltd., fell as much as 10% on Friday morning trading but recovered slightly to end the day down 5%, wiping US$35 billion of market value in a single day (for context, that’s quite close to what DBS is worth in its entirety).

https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/tech/trump-bans-us-residents-doing-business-tiktok-and-wechat

The InvestQuest’s View: The actual financial impact to Tencent is manageable, since only 2% of Tencent’s total revenues is derived from the US (see table below). Specifically on WeChat, there is only 1.8 million users in US, compared to 1.2 billion WeChat users in total. That said, the big risk is the fear of further escalation, resulting in weak investor sentiment.

Source: Morgan Stanley Research. Data based on 2020 revenue estimates (2019 for Trip.com).

3) Additional round of US Fiscal Stimulus Hits Roadblock

Coronavirus aid talks between Democratic leaders and the Trump administration ground to a halt Friday. Following which, President Trump threatened to take executive action if both sides fail to reach a deal.

In a letter to colleagues Friday, Pelosi outlined several areas of disagreement:

  • She said Democrats aim to put $75 billion into Covid-19 testing and treatment, while the GOP bill includes $15 billion. 
  • Pelosi wrote that the GOP has offered $150 billion for states and municipalities, far below the $915 billion Democrats proposed. 
  • The speaker said the sides are “a couple hundred billion dollars apart” on money to help schools reopen. Republicans included $105 billion for schools in their legislation. 
  • Pelosi called for more money for food, water and utility assistance than the GOP has proposed. 
  • She said Democrats wanted to secure more concessions on ensuring a complete Census and safe voting during the pandemic.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/07/coronavirus-stimulus-updates-relief-bill-stalls-trump-mulls-executive-order.html


4) Singapore-based SEA Ltd posts a 880% return in the past 18 months

Singapore-based gaming, e-commerce and payments company SEA Ltd had its stock rise by more than 880 per cent in the past 18 months, the largest gain worldwide among companies with a starting market value of at least US$1 billion.

Its Shopee platform overtook Alibaba’s Lazada in the fourth quarter of 2019 to become the top e-commerce provider in South-east Asia, according to research firm iPrice, and the business accounted for more than 40 per cent of Sea’s revenue in 2019, up from 2.3 per cent in 2017.

https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/singapores-sea-enjoys-880-stock-rally-thats-trouncing-tesla-and


5) Market Monitors: Short-term Overbought and Oversold Stocks

The below is a screen of the most technically “Overbought” and “Oversold” stocks from our Global Stock Watchlist, primarily sorted by the stocks’ traded currency. Some of these stocks may be trading at these extreme ranges due to fundamental reasons, so please do your own due diligence before investing.

Overbought” stocks are those stocks which are currently trading with RSI >70 or have breached their upper Bollinger Band. These are two commonly followed technical trading indicators.

Oversold” stocks are those stocks which are currently trading with RSI <30 or have breached their lower Bollinger Band. As this week’s list of oversold stocks is very long, the below table consists mainly of stocks that have fulfilled both criteria.

Source: Bloomberg, retrieved 8 August 2020.

6) Market Monitors: Corporate Earnings Releases in the Week Ahead

Summarizing the date and times of key company earnings for the week of 10th to 14th August 2020. Do note that some of the below data are expected release dates and may be revised in real-time. A more comprehensive list may be found on this page.

Stock NameExchange CountryExpected Release DateRelease Time
(GMT +8, SG Time)
Royal Caribbean Cruises LtdUSA10/8/2020Bef-mkt
Marriott International Inc/MDUSA10/8/202019:00
    
China Tower Corp LtdHong Kong11/8/2020 
SoftBank Group CorpJapan11/8/202014:00
Rakuten IncJapan11/8/202014:00
Wilmar International LtdSingapore11/8/2020Aft-mkt
InterContinental Hotels GroupEngland11/8/2020Bef-mkt
Prudential PLCEngland11/8/202016:30
    
Commonwealth Bank of AustraliaAustralia12/8/2020 
Tencent Holdings LtdHong Kong12/8/2020 
China Unicom Hong Kong LtdHong Kong12/8/2020 
Cisco Systems IncUSA12/8/2020Aft-mkt
    
Telstra Corp LtdAustralia13/8/2020 
China Mobile LtdHong Kong13/8/2020 
Galaxy Entertainment Group LtdHong Kong13/8/2020 
China Telecom Corp LtdHong Kong13/8/2020 
Meituan DianpingHong Kong13/8/2020 
Mitsubishi CorpJapan13/8/202013:00
City Developments LtdSingapore13/8/2020 
UOL Group LtdSingapore13/8/2020 
Ho Bee Land LtdSingapore13/8/2020Aft-mkt
Applied Materials IncUSA13/8/2020Aft-mkt
Baidu IncUSA13/8/2020Aft-mkt
    
Sands China LtdHong Kong14/8/2020 
CSPC Pharmaceutical Group LtdHong Kong14/8/2020 
AAC Technologies Holdings IncHong Kong14/8/2020 
Alibaba Group Holding LtdHong Kong14/8/2020 
Xiaomi CorpHong Kong14/8/2020 
Singapore Telecommunications LSingapore14/8/2020 
Thai Beverage PCLSingapore14/8/2020 
ComfortDelGro Corp LtdSingapore14/8/2020Aft-mkt
Source: Bloomberg, retrieved 8 August 2020.

7) Market Monitors: Country Macro Data Releases in the Week Ahead

Date / Time
(GMT +8, SG time)
CountryEventPeriodExpectedPrior Period
(Actual)
08/10 09:30ChinaPPI YoYJul-2.5%-3.0%
08/10 09:30ChinaCPI YoYJul2.6%2.5%
08/10 20:15CanadaHousing StartsJul205.0k211.7k
08/10-08/15 ChinaMoney Supply M2 YoYJul11.1%11.1%
      
08/11 07:50JapanBoP Current Account BalanceJun¥132.6b¥1176.8b
08/11 08:00SingaporeGDP YoY2Q F-12.6%-12.6%
08/11 14:00UKClaimant Count RateJul     —7.3%
08/11 14:00UKJobless Claims ChangeJul     —-28.1k
08/11 14:00UKILO Unemployment Rate 3MthsJun4.2%3.9%
08/11 17:00GermanyZEW Survey ExpectationsAug55.659.3
08/11 17:00GermanyZEW Survey Current SituationAug-69.5-80.9
08/11 20:00IndiaIndustrial Production YoYJun-21.5%     —
08/11 20:30USPPI Final Demand MoMJul0.3%-0.2%
      
08/12 08:30AustraliaWestpac Consumer Conf SA MoMAug     —-6.1%
08/12 14:00UKIndustrial Production MoMJun9.0%6.0%
08/12 14:00UKManufacturing Production MoMJun10.0%8.4%
08/12 14:00UKGDP QoQ2Q P-20.5%-2.2%
08/12 14:00UKGDP YoY2Q P-22.3%-1.7%
08/12 16:00ItalyCPI EU Harmonized YoYJul F0.9%0.9%
08/12 19:00USMBA Mortgage ApplicationsAug 7     —-5.1%
08/12 20:00BrazilRetail Sales YoYJun-3.1%-7.2%
08/12 20:30USCPI MoMJul0.3%0.6%
08/12-08/15 IndiaExports YoYJul     —-12.4%
      
08/13 07:50JapanPPI YoYJul-1.1%-1.6%
08/13 09:30AustraliaEmployment ChangeJul30.0k210.8k
08/13 09:30AustraliaUnemployment RateJul7.8%7.4%
08/13 09:30AustraliaParticipation RateJul64.4%64.0%
08/13 14:00GermanyCPI MoMJul F-0.5%-0.5%
08/13 14:00GermanyCPI YoYJul F-0.1%-0.1%
08/13 20:30USInitial Jobless ClaimsAug 81100k1186k
      
08/14 10:00ChinaIndustrial Production YoYJul5.1%4.8%
08/14 10:00ChinaRetail Sales YoYJul0.1%-1.8%
08/14 12:30JapanTertiary Industry Index MoMJun6.6%-2.1%
08/14 14:45FranceCPI YoYJul F0.8%0.8%
08/14 16:30Hong KongGDP YoY2Q F-9.0%-9.0%
08/14 20:30USRetail Sales Advance MoMJul1.9%7.5%
08/14 21:15USIndustrial Production MoMJul3.0%5.4%
08/14 22:00USU. of Mich. SentimentAug P71.972.5
Source: Bloomberg, retrieved 8 August 2020.

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